fix: 恢复腾讯云账单同步并完善成本预测

- 接入腾讯云单日账单、全局限频和指数退避

- 修正月末费用预测并增加账期提示和费用归因

- 补充腾讯云限频及账单归因回归测试

backend/cloud/billing.go

@@ -16,13 +16,16 @@ type BillingFetcher interface {
 	FetchDailyBill(billingDate string) ([]CloudBillingRecord, error)
 }
 
+// SupportedBillingProviders 已接入账单 API 的云厂商列表。 // Logan.Li
+var SupportedBillingProviders = []string{"aliyun", "tencent"}
+
 // NewBillingFetcher 根据云厂商创建账单拉取器
 func NewBillingFetcher(provider, accessKey, secretKey string) BillingFetcher {
 	switch provider {
 	case "aliyun":
-		if p := NewAliyunProvider(accessKey, secretKey); p != nil {
+		return NewAliyunProvider(accessKey, secretKey)
-			return p
+	case "tencent":
-		}
+		return NewTencentProvider(accessKey, secretKey)
 	}
 	return nil
-}
+}

backend/cloud/tencent.go

@@ -5,17 +5,39 @@ import (
 	"crypto/sha256"
 	"encoding/hex"
 	"encoding/json"
+	"errors"
 	"fmt"
 	"io"
 	"net/http"
 	"sort"
 	"strings"
+	"sync"
 	"time"
 )
 
 // TencentProvider 通过腾讯云 TC3-HMAC-SHA256 API 同步 CVM 资源。 // Logan.Li
 type TencentProvider struct{ accessKey, secretKey string }
 
+const (
+	tencentRequestInterval = 260 * time.Millisecond
+	tencentMaxAttempts     = 4
+)
+
+var tencentLimiter = struct {
+	sync.Mutex
+	next time.Time
+}{}
+
+// tencentAPIError 保留腾讯云错误码，便于对限频错误做退避重试。 // Logan.Li
+type tencentAPIError struct {
+	Code    string
+	Message string
+}
+
+func (e *tencentAPIError) Error() string {
+	return fmt.Sprintf("腾讯云 API 错误 %s: %s", e.Code, e.Message)
+}
+
 // tencentInstancesResponse 描述腾讯云 CVM 实例分页响应。 // Logan.Li
 type tencentInstancesResponse struct {
 	Response struct {
@@ -58,6 +80,44 @@ func (p *TencentProvider) callInRegion(region, action string, payload interface{
 
 // callService 使用 TC3-HMAC-SHA256 调用腾讯云服务 API。 // Logan.Li
 func (p *TencentProvider) callService(service, host, version, action, region string, payload interface{}) ([]byte, error) {
+	var lastErr error
+	for attempt := 0; attempt < tencentMaxAttempts; attempt++ {
+		waitTencentRequestSlot()
+		data, err := p.callServiceOnce(service, host, version, action, region, payload)
+		if err == nil {
+			return data, nil
+		}
+		lastErr = err
+		delay, retry := tencentRetryDelay(err, attempt)
+		if !retry {
+			return nil, err
+		}
+		time.Sleep(delay)
+	}
+	return nil, lastErr
+}
+
+// waitTencentRequestSlot 将进程内所有腾讯云请求统一限速在每秒 4 次以内。 // Logan.Li
+func waitTencentRequestSlot() {
+	tencentLimiter.Lock()
+	defer tencentLimiter.Unlock()
+	if delay := time.Until(tencentLimiter.next); delay > 0 {
+		time.Sleep(delay)
+	}
+	tencentLimiter.next = time.Now().Add(tencentRequestInterval)
+}
+
+// tencentRetryDelay 对 RequestLimitExceeded 使用指数退避，其他错误立即返回。 // Logan.Li
+func tencentRetryDelay(err error, attempt int) (time.Duration, bool) {
+	var apiErr *tencentAPIError
+	if !errors.As(err, &apiErr) || !strings.HasPrefix(apiErr.Code, "RequestLimitExceeded") || attempt >= tencentMaxAttempts-1 {
+		return 0, false
+	}
+	return (500 * time.Millisecond) * time.Duration(1<<attempt), true
+}
+
+// callServiceOnce 执行一次腾讯云 TC3-HMAC-SHA256 签名请求。 // Logan.Li
+func (p *TencentProvider) callServiceOnce(service, host, version, action, region string, payload interface{}) ([]byte, error) {
 	body, err := json.Marshal(payload)
 	if err != nil {
 		return nil, fmt.Errorf("编码腾讯云请求失败: %w", err)
@@ -95,6 +155,9 @@ func (p *TencentProvider) callService(service, host, version, action, region str
 		return nil, fmt.Errorf("读取腾讯云响应失败: %w", err)
 	}
 	if resp.StatusCode < 200 || resp.StatusCode >= 300 {
+		if resp.StatusCode == http.StatusTooManyRequests {
+			return nil, &tencentAPIError{Code: "RequestLimitExceeded.HTTP429", Message: string(data)}
+		}
 		return nil, fmt.Errorf("腾讯云 API 返回 HTTP %d: %s", resp.StatusCode, string(data))
 	}
 	var envelope struct {
@@ -106,7 +169,7 @@ func (p *TencentProvider) callService(service, host, version, action, region str
 		} `json:"Response"`
 	}
 	if json.Unmarshal(data, &envelope) == nil && envelope.Response.Error != nil {
-		return nil, fmt.Errorf("腾讯云 API 错误 %s: %s", envelope.Response.Error.Code, envelope.Response.Error.Message)
+		return nil, &tencentAPIError{Code: envelope.Response.Error.Code, Message: envelope.Response.Error.Message}
 	}
 	return data, nil
 }

backend/cloud/tencent_billing.go

@@ -0,0 +1,138 @@
+package cloud
+
+import (
+	"encoding/json"
+	"fmt"
+	"math"
+	"sort"
+	"strconv"
+	"strings"
+)
+
+// FetchDailyBill 拉取指定日期的腾讯云日账单，并按产品和地域汇总。 // Logan.Li
+func (p *TencentProvider) FetchDailyBill(billingDate string) ([]CloudBillingRecord, error) {
+	if len(billingDate) != 10 {
+		return nil, fmt.Errorf("账单日期格式应为 YYYY-MM-DD")
+	}
+
+	type aggregationKey struct {
+		service string
+		region  string
+	}
+	aggregation := map[aggregationKey]float64{}
+	const pageSize = 100
+
+	for offset := 0; ; offset += pageSize {
+		// DescribeBillDetail 不支持 Day 参数，使用账期和起止时间限定单日范围。 // Logan.Li
+		body, err := p.callService("billing", "billing.tencentcloudapi.com", "2018-07-09", "DescribeBillDetail", "", map[string]interface{}{
+			"Month":         billingDate[:7],
+			"BeginTime":     billingDate + " 00:00:00",
+			"EndTime":       billingDate + " 23:59:59",
+			"Offset":        offset,
+			"Limit":         pageSize,
+			"NeedRecordNum": 1,
+		})
+		if err != nil {
+			return nil, err
+		}
+
+		var response tencentBillDetailResponse
+		if err := json.Unmarshal(body, &response); err != nil {
+			return nil, fmt.Errorf("解析腾讯云账单响应失败: %w", err)
+		}
+		for _, detail := range response.Response.DetailSet {
+			cost := tencentBillAmount(detail.RealTotalCost)
+			if cost == 0 {
+				cost = tencentBillAmount(detail.RealCost)
+			}
+			if cost == 0 {
+				cost = tencentBillAmount(detail.CashPayAmount)
+			}
+			if cost == 0 {
+				// 腾讯云明细账单将组件费用放在 ComponentSet，逐项汇总实际费用。 // Logan.Li
+				for _, component := range detail.ComponentSet {
+					componentCost := tencentBillAmount(component.RealCost)
+					if componentCost == 0 {
+						componentCost = tencentBillAmount(component.CashPayAmount)
+					}
+					cost += componentCost
+				}
+			}
+			if cost <= 0 {
+				continue
+			}
+			service := firstNonEmpty(detail.ProductCodeName, detail.BusinessCodeName, detail.ProductCode, "其他")
+			region := firstNonEmpty(detail.RegionName, "全局")
+			aggregation[aggregationKey{service: service, region: region}] += cost
+		}
+
+		if len(response.Response.DetailSet) < pageSize || (response.Response.Total > 0 && offset+pageSize >= response.Response.Total) {
+			break
+		}
+	}
+
+	keys := make([]aggregationKey, 0, len(aggregation))
+	for key := range aggregation {
+		keys = append(keys, key)
+	}
+	sort.Slice(keys, func(i, j int) bool {
+		if keys[i].service == keys[j].service {
+			return keys[i].region < keys[j].region
+		}
+		return keys[i].service < keys[j].service
+	})
+
+	records := make([]CloudBillingRecord, 0, len(keys))
+	for _, key := range keys {
+		records = append(records, CloudBillingRecord{
+			BillingDate: billingDate,
+			Provider:    "tencent",
+			Cost:        math.Round(aggregation[key]*100) / 100,
+			Currency:    "CNY",
+			Service:     key.service,
+			Region:      key.region,
+			Description: "云 API 自动同步（腾讯云 DescribeBillDetail）",
+		})
+	}
+	return records, nil
+}
+
+// tencentBillDetailResponse 描述腾讯云费用中心明细账单响应。 // Logan.Li
+type tencentBillDetailResponse struct {
+	Response struct {
+		Total     int `json:"Total"`
+		DetailSet []struct {
+			ProductCode      string          `json:"ProductCode"`
+			ProductCodeName  string          `json:"ProductCodeName"`
+			BusinessCodeName string          `json:"BusinessCodeName"`
+			RegionName       string          `json:"RegionName"`
+			RealTotalCost    json.RawMessage `json:"RealTotalCost"`
+			RealCost         json.RawMessage `json:"RealCost"`
+			CashPayAmount    json.RawMessage `json:"CashPayAmount"`
+			ComponentSet     []struct {
+				RealCost      json.RawMessage `json:"RealCost"`
+				CashPayAmount json.RawMessage `json:"CashPayAmount"`
+			} `json:"ComponentSet"`
+		} `json:"DetailSet"`
+	} `json:"Response"`
+}
+
+// tencentBillAmount 兼容腾讯云账单金额字段为字符串或数字的响应。 // Logan.Li
+func tencentBillAmount(raw json.RawMessage) float64 {
+	value := strings.Trim(strings.TrimSpace(string(raw)), "\"")
+	amount, err := strconv.ParseFloat(value, 64)
+	if err != nil {
+		return 0
+	}
+	return amount
+}
+
+// firstNonEmpty 返回首个非空文本，用于兼容不同账单产品字段。 // Logan.Li
+func firstNonEmpty(values ...string) string {
+	for _, value := range values {
+		if text := strings.TrimSpace(value); text != "" {
+			return text
+		}
+	}
+	return ""
+}

backend/cloud/tencent_test.go

@@ -0,0 +1,28 @@
+package cloud
+
+import (
+	"errors"
+	"testing"
+	"time"
+)
+
+// TestTencentRetryDelay 验证限频错误指数退避与最大重试次数。 // Logan.Li
+func TestTencentRetryDelay(t *testing.T) {
+	rateLimitErr := &tencentAPIError{Code: "RequestLimitExceeded", Message: "frequency limit"}
+	delay, retry := tencentRetryDelay(rateLimitErr, 0)
+	if !retry || delay != 500*time.Millisecond {
+		t.Fatalf("首次限频退避错误: retry=%v delay=%s", retry, delay)
+	}
+
+	delay, retry = tencentRetryDelay(rateLimitErr, 2)
+	if !retry || delay != 2*time.Second {
+		t.Fatalf("第三次限频退避错误: retry=%v delay=%s", retry, delay)
+	}
+
+	if _, retry = tencentRetryDelay(rateLimitErr, tencentMaxAttempts-1); retry {
+		t.Fatal("达到最大次数后不应继续重试")
+	}
+	if _, retry = tencentRetryDelay(errors.New("鉴权失败"), 0); retry {
+		t.Fatal("非限频错误不应重试")
+	}
+}

backend/controller/billing_analysis.go

@@ -0,0 +1,160 @@
+package controller
+
+import (
+	"fmt"
+	"math"
+	"net/http"
+	"sort"
+	"time"
+
+	"ezops/model"
+
+	"github.com/gin-gonic/gin"
+)
+
+// billingMonthCost 表示月度费用汇总。 // Logan.Li
+type billingMonthCost struct {
+	Month string  `json:"month"`
+	Cost  float64 `json:"cost"`
+}
+
+// billingAttribution 表示可复核的费用变化归因。 // Logan.Li
+type billingAttribution struct {
+	Dimension    string  `json:"dimension"`
+	Name         string  `json:"name"`
+	BaselineCost float64 `json:"baseline_cost"`
+	CurrentCost  float64 `json:"current_cost"`
+	Delta        float64 `json:"delta"`
+	Contribution float64 `json:"contribution"`
+}
+
+// GetBillingCostAnalysis 返回月度趋势和同期费用归因，AI 只负责解释确定性结果。 // Logan.Li
+func (h *BillingHandler) GetBillingCostAnalysis(c *gin.Context) {
+	now := time.Now()
+	currentStart := time.Date(now.Year(), now.Month(), 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, now.Location())
+	baselineStart := currentStart.AddDate(0, -1, 0)
+	baselineEndDay := now.Day()
+	baselineLastDay := baselineStart.AddDate(0, 1, -1).Day()
+	if baselineEndDay > baselineLastDay {
+		baselineEndDay = baselineLastDay
+	}
+	baselineEnd := time.Date(baselineStart.Year(), baselineStart.Month(), baselineEndDay, 23, 59, 59, 0, now.Location())
+	analysisStart := currentStart.AddDate(0, -5, 0)
+	currency := c.DefaultQuery("currency", "CNY")
+
+	query := h.db.Model(&model.CloudBilling{}).Where("billing_date >= ? AND currency = ?", analysisStart.Format("2006-01-02"), currency)
+	type monthRow struct {
+		Month string
+		Cost  float64
+	}
+	var monthRows []monthRow
+	query.Select("SUBSTR(billing_date, 1, 7) AS month, COALESCE(SUM(cost), 0) AS cost").
+		Group("SUBSTR(billing_date, 1, 7)").Order("month ASC").Scan(&monthRows)
+	months := make([]billingMonthCost, 0, len(monthRows))
+	for _, row := range monthRows {
+		months = append(months, billingMonthCost{Month: row.Month, Cost: roundBilling(row.Cost)})
+	}
+
+	baselineStartDate := baselineStart.Format("2006-01-02")
+	baselineEndDate := baselineEnd.Format("2006-01-02")
+	currentStartDate := currentStart.Format("2006-01-02")
+	currentEndDate := now.Format("2006-01-02")
+	baselineCost := h.sumBillingPeriod(baselineStartDate, baselineEndDate, currency)
+	currentCost := h.sumBillingPeriod(currentStartDate, currentEndDate, currency)
+	totalDelta := currentCost - baselineCost
+
+	attributions := make([]billingAttribution, 0, 24)
+	for _, dimension := range []string{"provider", "account_name", "service", "region"} {
+		attributions = append(attributions, h.billingDimensionAttribution(
+			dimension, baselineStartDate, baselineEndDate, currentStartDate, currentEndDate, currency, totalDelta,
+		)...)
+	}
+	sort.Slice(attributions, func(i, j int) bool {
+		return math.Abs(attributions[i].Delta) > math.Abs(attributions[j].Delta)
+	})
+	if len(attributions) > 20 {
+		attributions = attributions[:20]
+	}
+
+	var dataThrough string
+	h.db.Model(&model.CloudBilling{}).Where("currency = ?", currency).Select("COALESCE(MAX(billing_date), '')").Scan(&dataThrough)
+	c.JSON(http.StatusOK, model.Response{Code: 200, Message: "success", Data: gin.H{
+		"analysis_start":       analysisStart.Format("2006-01-02"),
+		"analysis_end":         currentEndDate,
+		"data_through":         dataThrough,
+		"currency":             currency,
+		"incomplete_period":    true,
+		"months":               months,
+		"baseline_period":      fmt.Sprintf("%s - %s", baselineStartDate, baselineEndDate),
+		"comparison_period":    fmt.Sprintf("%s - %s", currentStartDate, currentEndDate),
+		"baseline_cost":        roundBilling(baselineCost),
+		"comparison_cost":      roundBilling(currentCost),
+		"total_delta":          roundBilling(totalDelta),
+		"attributions":         attributions,
+		"contribution_formula": "(当前期费用 - 基准期费用) / (当前期总费用 - 基准期总费用)",
+	}})
+}
+
+// sumBillingPeriod 汇总指定币种和日期范围费用。 // Logan.Li
+func (h *BillingHandler) sumBillingPeriod(startDate, endDate, currency string) float64 {
+	var total float64
+	h.db.Model(&model.CloudBilling{}).
+		Where("billing_date BETWEEN ? AND ? AND currency = ?", startDate, endDate, currency).
+		Select("COALESCE(SUM(cost), 0)").Scan(&total)
+	return total
+}
+
+// billingDimensionAttribution 计算单一维度的同期费用变化贡献。 // Logan.Li
+func (h *BillingHandler) billingDimensionAttribution(dimension, baselineStart, baselineEnd, currentStart, currentEnd, currency string, totalDelta float64) []billingAttribution {
+	type dimensionRow struct {
+		Name string
+		Cost float64
+	}
+	load := func(startDate, endDate string) []dimensionRow {
+		var rows []dimensionRow
+		h.db.Model(&model.CloudBilling{}).
+			Select(dimension+" AS name, COALESCE(SUM(cost), 0) AS cost").
+			Where("billing_date BETWEEN ? AND ? AND currency = ?", startDate, endDate, currency).
+			Group(dimension).Scan(&rows)
+		return rows
+	}
+	baseline := map[string]float64{}
+	current := map[string]float64{}
+	for _, row := range load(baselineStart, baselineEnd) {
+		baseline[row.Name] = row.Cost
+	}
+	for _, row := range load(currentStart, currentEnd) {
+		current[row.Name] = row.Cost
+	}
+	for name := range baseline {
+		if _, ok := current[name]; !ok {
+			current[name] = 0
+		}
+	}
+	result := make([]billingAttribution, 0, len(current))
+	for rawName, currentCost := range current {
+		name := rawName
+		if rawName == "" {
+			name = "未分类"
+		}
+		baselineCost := baseline[rawName]
+		delta := currentCost - baselineCost
+		if math.Abs(delta) < 0.01 {
+			continue
+		}
+		contribution := 0.0
+		if math.Abs(totalDelta) >= 0.01 {
+			contribution = delta / totalDelta * 100
+		}
+		result = append(result, billingAttribution{
+			Dimension: dimension, Name: name, BaselineCost: roundBilling(baselineCost),
+			CurrentCost: roundBilling(currentCost), Delta: roundBilling(delta), Contribution: roundBilling(contribution),
+		})
+	}
+	return result
+}
+
+// roundBilling 统一费用和百分比精度。 // Logan.Li
+func roundBilling(value float64) float64 {
+	return math.Round(value*100) / 100
+}

backend/controller/billing_analysis_test.go

@@ -0,0 +1,45 @@
+package controller
+
+import (
+	"testing"
+
+	"ezops/model"
+
+	"github.com/glebarez/sqlite"
+	"gorm.io/gorm"
+)
+
+// TestBillingDimensionAttribution 验证费用变化额和贡献度使用数据库完整数据计算。 // Logan.Li
+func TestBillingDimensionAttribution(t *testing.T) {
+	db, err := gorm.Open(sqlite.Open(":memory:"), &gorm.Config{})
+	if err != nil {
+		t.Fatalf("打开测试数据库失败: %v", err)
+	}
+	if err = db.AutoMigrate(&model.CloudBilling{}); err != nil {
+		t.Fatalf("迁移账单表失败: %v", err)
+	}
+	records := []model.CloudBilling{
+		{BillingDate: "2026-06-01", Provider: "tencent", Service: "CVM", Region: "广州", AccountName: "预发", Currency: "CNY", Cost: 100},
+		{BillingDate: "2026-07-01", Provider: "tencent", Service: "CVM", Region: "广州", AccountName: "预发", Currency: "CNY", Cost: 180},
+		{BillingDate: "2026-07-01", Provider: "tencent", Service: "COS", Region: "广州", AccountName: "预发", Currency: "CNY", Cost: 20},
+	}
+	if err = db.Create(&records).Error; err != nil {
+		t.Fatalf("写入测试账单失败: %v", err)
+	}
+
+	handler := NewBillingHandler(db)
+	items := handler.billingDimensionAttribution("service", "2026-06-01", "2026-06-30", "2026-07-01", "2026-07-31", "CNY", 100)
+	if len(items) != 2 {
+		t.Fatalf("归因项数量错误: got=%d want=2", len(items))
+	}
+	result := map[string]billingAttribution{}
+	for _, item := range items {
+		result[item.Name] = item
+	}
+	if result["CVM"].Delta != 80 || result["CVM"].Contribution != 80 {
+		t.Fatalf("CVM 归因错误: %+v", result["CVM"])
+	}
+	if result["COS"].Delta != 20 || result["COS"].Contribution != 20 {
+		t.Fatalf("COS 归因错误: %+v", result["COS"])
+	}
+}

backend/pkg/billingsync/sync.go

@@ -37,6 +37,9 @@ func SyncDate(db *gorm.DB, billingDate string, accountID *uint) Result {
 	q := db.Where("status = ?", "active")
 	if accountID != nil {
 		q = q.Where("id = ?", *accountID)
+	} else {
+		// 批量同步只选择已接入账单 API 的厂商，避免无效失败。 // Logan.Li
+		q = q.Where("provider IN ?", cloud.SupportedBillingProviders)
 	}
 	q.Find(&accounts)
 	result.Accounts = len(accounts)
@@ -138,4 +141,4 @@ func syncAccount(db *gorm.DB, account model.CloudAccount, billingDate string) (c
 	db.Model(&account).Update("monthly_cost", monthCost)
 
 	return created, updated, skipped, nil
-}
+}

backend/router/routes.go

@@ -323,6 +323,7 @@ func Register(r *gin.Engine, db *gorm.DB, log *zap.Logger, cfg *config.Config, c
 		billings.POST("/batch", billingHandler.BatchCreateBillings)
 		billings.DELETE("/:id", billingHandler.DeleteBilling)
 		billings.GET("/stats", billingHandler.GetBillingStats)
+		billings.GET("/cost-analysis", billingHandler.GetBillingCostAnalysis)
 		billings.GET("/providers", billingHandler.GetProviderOptions)
 		billings.POST("/sync", billingHandler.SyncYesterdayBillings)
 	}

frontend/src/api/cloud/billing.ts

@@ -6,6 +6,9 @@ export const billingApi = {
   getStats: async () => {
     return http.get('/cloud-billings/stats');
   },
+  getCostAnalysis: async () => {
+    return http.get('/cloud-billings/cost-analysis');
+  },
   list: async (params?: { provider?: string; cloud_account_id?: number; start_date?: string; end_date?: string; page?: number; page_size?: number }) => {
     return http.get<ListResponse>('/cloud-billings', params);
   },
@@ -47,4 +50,4 @@ export const billingApi = {
   toggleAlertRule: async (id: number | string) => {
     return http.post(`/billing-alerts/${id}/toggle`);
   },
-};
+};

frontend/src/components/aiops/AIPredictiveAnalytics.tsx

@@ -54,6 +54,7 @@ export function AIPredictiveAnalytics() {
   const [billingStats, setBillingStats] = useState<JsonData | null>(null);
   const [billingRecords, setBillingRecords] = useState<JsonData[]>([]);
   const [billingAlertRules, setBillingAlertRules] = useState<JsonData[]>([]);
+  const [costAnalysis, setCostAnalysis] = useState<JsonData | null>(null);
 
   useEffect(() => {
     void loadData();
@@ -66,12 +67,13 @@ export function AIPredictiveAnalytics() {
       start.setDate(start.getDate() - 89);
       const startDate = start.toISOString().slice(0, 10);
 
-      const [metricsData, statsResp, billStats, billList, billRules] = await Promise.all([
+      const [metricsData, statsResp, billStats, billList, billRules, analysis] = await Promise.all([
         dashboardStatsApi.getMetrics(72),
         serverApi.getServerStats(),
         billingApi.getStats().catch(() => null),
         billingApi.list({ start_date: startDate, page_size: 500 }).catch(() => ({ list: [] })),
         billingApi.listAlertRules().catch(() => ({ list: [] })),
+        billingApi.getCostAnalysis().catch(() => null),
       ]);
 
       setRawMetrics(Array.isArray(metricsData) ? metricsData : []);
@@ -79,6 +81,7 @@ export function AIPredictiveAnalytics() {
       setBillingStats(billStats);
       setBillingRecords((billList as JsonData)?.list || []);
       setBillingAlertRules((billRules as JsonData)?.list || []);
+      setCostAnalysis(analysis);
     } catch {
       // 保持空数据，组件显示空状态
     } finally {
@@ -104,8 +107,9 @@ export function AIPredictiveAnalytics() {
         billingStats,
         billingRecords,
         billingAlertRules,
+        costAnalysis,
       }),
-    [billingStats, billingRecords, billingAlertRules],
+    [billingStats, billingRecords, billingAlertRules, costAnalysis],
   );
 
   const getTrendIcon = (trend: string) => {
@@ -259,4 +263,4 @@ export function AIPredictiveAnalytics() {
       </Tabs>
     </PageShell>
   );
-}
+}

frontend/src/components/aiops/PredictiveCostTab.tsx

@@ -38,7 +38,7 @@ export function PredictiveCostTab({
   const { t } = useTranslation();
   const [insight, setInsight] = useState('');
   const [analyzing, setAnalyzing] = useState(false);
-  const { summary, dimensionForecasts, budgetRisks, billingPattern, recentDailyAvg } = costData;
+  const { summary, dimensionForecasts, budgetRisks, billingPattern, recentDailyAvg, costAnalysis } = costData;
   const hasData = summary.monthCost > 0 || summary.monthTrend.length > 0;
 
   const getTrendIcon = (trend: string) => {
@@ -129,6 +129,17 @@ export function PredictiveCostTab({
                 </div>
               )}
 
+              {costAnalysis?.incomplete_period && (
+                <div className="flex items-start gap-2 text-sm dg-text-secondary">
+                  <AlertTriangle className="h-4 w-4 dg-text-yellow shrink-0 mt-0.5" />
+                  <span>
+                    {t('aiops.costPredict.incompletePeriod', {
+                      date: costAnalysis.data_through || costAnalysis.analysis_end,
+                    })}
+                  </span>
+                </div>
+              )}
+
               <div className="grid grid-cols-2 md:grid-cols-4 gap-3">
                 <div className="p-3 rounded-lg border border-[var(--dg-border)] bg-[var(--dg-bg-tertiary)]/50">
                   <p className="text-xs dg-text-muted mb-1">{t('aiops.predictivecost.s7g8h9i0j')}</p>
@@ -172,6 +183,58 @@ export function PredictiveCostTab({
         </CardContent>
       </Card>
 
+      {!loading && costAnalysis && costAnalysis.attributions.length > 0 && (
+        <Card className="dg-card">
+          <CardHeader className="pb-3">
+            <CardTitle className="text-[var(--dg-text-primary)] text-base">
+              {t('aiops.costPredict.costAttribution')}
+            </CardTitle>
+          </CardHeader>
+          <CardContent className="space-y-4">
+            <div className="grid grid-cols-1 sm:grid-cols-3 gap-3 text-sm">
+              <div>
+                <p className="text-xs dg-text-muted">{t('aiops.costPredict.baselinePeriod')}</p>
+                <p className="font-semibold text-[var(--dg-text-primary)]">
+                  {formatCurrency(costAnalysis.baseline_cost)}
+                </p>
+                <p className="text-xs dg-text-muted mt-1">{costAnalysis.baseline_period}</p>
+              </div>
+              <div>
+                <p className="text-xs dg-text-muted">{t('aiops.costPredict.comparisonPeriod')}</p>
+                <p className="font-semibold text-[var(--dg-text-primary)]">
+                  {formatCurrency(costAnalysis.comparison_cost)}
+                </p>
+                <p className="text-xs dg-text-muted mt-1">{costAnalysis.comparison_period}</p>
+              </div>
+              <div>
+                <p className="text-xs dg-text-muted">{t('aiops.costPredict.costChange')}</p>
+                <p className={`font-semibold ${costAnalysis.total_delta > 0 ? 'dg-text-red' : 'dg-text-green'}`}>
+                  {costAnalysis.total_delta > 0 ? '+' : ''}{formatCurrency(costAnalysis.total_delta)}
+                </p>
+              </div>
+            </div>
+            <div className="space-y-2">
+              {costAnalysis.attributions.slice(0, 6).map((item) => (
+                <div key={`${item.dimension}-${item.name}`} className="flex items-center justify-between gap-3 text-sm py-1">
+                  <div className="min-w-0">
+                    <span className="dg-text-muted mr-2">
+                      {t(`aiops.costPredict.dimension.${item.dimension}`, { defaultValue: item.dimension })}
+                    </span>
+                    <span className="text-[var(--dg-text-primary)] break-words">{item.name}</span>
+                  </div>
+                  <div className="shrink-0 text-right">
+                    <span className={item.delta > 0 ? 'dg-text-red' : 'dg-text-green'}>
+                      {item.delta > 0 ? '+' : ''}{formatCurrency(item.delta)}
+                    </span>
+                    <span className="dg-text-muted ml-2">{item.contribution.toFixed(1)}%</span>
+                  </div>
+                </div>
+              ))}
+            </div>
+          </CardContent>
+        </Card>
+      )}
+
       {!loading && dimensionForecasts.length > 0 && (
         <Card className="dg-card">
           <CardHeader className="pb-3">
@@ -345,4 +408,4 @@ export function PredictiveCostTab({
       )}
     </div>
   );
-}
+}

frontend/src/components/aiops/cost-predict.ts

@@ -8,6 +8,7 @@ import type {
   CostPredictionSummary,
   ComputedCostPredictions,
   ComputeCostPredictionsInput,
+  CostAnalysis,
 } from './predict-types';
 
 /**
@@ -166,9 +167,18 @@ function forecastMonthEnd(
   const dailyAvg = costs.length > 0 ? costs.reduce((a, b) => a + b, 0) / costs.length : 0;
   const recentDailyAvg = recentRunRate(series);
   const billingPattern = detectBillingPattern(series);
-  // 预付费/前高后平：用近 7 日运行费率外推，避免线性回归高估或矛盾 // Logan.Li
+  // 稳态账单逐日累加回归预测值，不能把斜率本身误当成每日费用。 // Logan.Li
-  const extrapolation =
+  const intercept = dailyAvg - slope * ((costs.length - 1) / 2);
-    billingPattern === 'front_loaded' ? recentDailyAvg * daysLeft : slope * daysLeft;
+  const maxDaily = Math.max(dailyAvg, recentDailyAvg, ...costs, 1) * 3;
+  let extrapolation = 0;
+  if (billingPattern === 'front_loaded') {
+    extrapolation = recentDailyAvg * daysLeft;
+  } else {
+    for (let day = 0; day < daysLeft; day += 1) {
+      const projectedDaily = intercept + slope * (costs.length + day);
+      extrapolation += Math.max(0, Math.min(maxDaily, projectedDaily));
+    }
+  }
   const predictedMonthEnd = Math.max(0, Math.round((currentMonth + extrapolation) * 100) / 100);
   let confidence = Math.round(55 + r2 * 40);
   if (billingPattern === 'front_loaded') confidence = Math.max(45, confidence - 15);
@@ -192,7 +202,7 @@ function forecastMonthEnd(
  * // Logan.Li
  */
 export function computeCostPredictions(input: ComputeCostPredictionsInput): ComputedCostPredictions {
-  const { billingStats, billingRecords, billingAlertRules } = input;
+  const { billingStats, billingRecords, billingAlertRules, costAnalysis } = input;
   const empty: ComputedCostPredictions = {
     summary: {
       monthCost: 0,
@@ -212,6 +222,7 @@ export function computeCostPredictions(input: ComputeCostPredictionsInput): Comp
     recentDailyAvg: 0,
     billingPattern: 'sparse',
     topServices: [],
+    costAnalysis: null,
   };
 
   if (!billingStats) return empty;
@@ -373,6 +384,7 @@ export function computeCostPredictions(input: ComputeCostPredictionsInput): Comp
     recentDailyAvg: overall.recentDailyAvg,
     billingPattern: overall.billingPattern,
     topServices: topServicesByCost(billingRecords),
+    costAnalysis: costAnalysis ? (costAnalysis as unknown as CostAnalysis) : null,
   };
 }
 
@@ -381,7 +393,7 @@ export function computeCostPredictions(input: ComputeCostPredictionsInput): Comp
  * // Logan.Li
  */
 export function buildCostInsightPrompt(data: ComputedCostPredictions): string {
-  const { summary, dimensionForecasts, budgetRisks, recentDailyAvg, billingPattern, topServices } = data;
+  const { summary, dimensionForecasts, budgetRisks, recentDailyAvg, billingPattern, topServices, costAnalysis } = data;
   if (summary.monthCost <= 0 && dimensionForecasts.length === 0) return '';
 
   const patternHint =
@@ -418,6 +430,16 @@ export function buildCostInsightPrompt(data: ComputedCostPredictions): string {
     topServices.length > 0
       ? topServices.map((s) => i18n.t('aiops.costPredict.serviceLine', { service: s.service, cost: s.cost.toFixed(2) }))
       : [`- ${i18n.t('aiops.costPredict.noServiceDetail')}`];
+  const attributionLines = costAnalysis?.attributions?.length
+    ? costAnalysis.attributions.slice(0, 8).map((item) =>
+        i18n.t('aiops.costPredict.attributionLine', {
+          dimension: item.dimension,
+          name: item.name,
+          delta: item.delta.toFixed(2),
+          contribution: item.contribution.toFixed(2),
+        }),
+      )
+    : [`- ${i18n.t('aiops.costPredict.noAttribution')}`];
 
   return [
     i18n.t('aiops.costPredict.promptIntro'),
@@ -427,10 +449,16 @@ export function buildCostInsightPrompt(data: ComputedCostPredictions): string {
     i18n.t('aiops.costPredict.predictedEnd', { amount: summary.predictedMonthEnd.toFixed(2), confidence: summary.confidence }),
     i18n.t('aiops.costPredict.dailySummary', { dailyAvg: summary.dailyAvg.toFixed(2), recentAvg: recentDailyAvg.toFixed(2), daysRemaining: summary.daysRemaining }),
     i18n.t('aiops.costPredict.billingPatternLabel', { hint: patternHint }),
+    costAnalysis?.incomplete_period
+      ? i18n.t('aiops.costPredict.incompletePrompt', { date: costAnalysis.data_through })
+      : '',
     '',
     i18n.t('aiops.costPredict.sectionTopServices'),
     ...serviceLines,
     '',
+    i18n.t('aiops.costPredict.sectionAttribution'),
+    ...attributionLines,
+    '',
     i18n.t('aiops.costPredict.sectionDimensionForecast'),
     ...dimLines,
     '',

frontend/src/components/aiops/predict-types.ts

@@ -77,6 +77,31 @@ export interface CostPredictionSummary {
   providerDist: { provider: string; cost: number; percent: number }[];
 }
 
+/** 后端确定性费用归因结果。 // Logan.Li */
+export interface CostAttribution {
+  dimension: string;
+  name: string;
+  baseline_cost: number;
+  current_cost: number;
+  delta: number;
+  contribution: number;
+}
+
+/** 同期成本分析，供页面展示并作为 AI 事实输入。 // Logan.Li */
+export interface CostAnalysis {
+  analysis_start: string;
+  analysis_end: string;
+  data_through: string;
+  currency: string;
+  incomplete_period: boolean;
+  baseline_period: string;
+  comparison_period: string;
+  baseline_cost: number;
+  comparison_cost: number;
+  total_delta: number;
+  attributions: CostAttribution[];
+}
+
 export interface ComputedCostPredictions {
   summary: CostPredictionSummary;
   dimensionForecasts: CostDimensionForecast[];
@@ -88,6 +113,8 @@ export interface ComputedCostPredictions {
   billingPattern: 'steady' | 'front_loaded' | 'sparse';
   /** 本月 Top 服务消费 */
   topServices: { service: string; cost: number }[];
+  /** 后端按完整数据集计算的同期归因。 // Logan.Li */
+  costAnalysis: CostAnalysis | null;
 }
 
 // ============ 容量预测入参/出参 ============
@@ -114,6 +141,7 @@ export interface ComputeCostPredictionsInput {
   billingStats: JsonData | null;
   billingRecords: JsonData[];
   billingAlertRules: JsonData[];
+  costAnalysis?: JsonData | null;
 }
 
 // ============ 共享常量 ============

frontend/src/locales/en-US.json

@@ -8795,6 +8795,19 @@
     "costPredict.recRising": "Cost trending up, monitor new service spending",
     "costPredict.recDeclining": "Cost declining, optimization is effective",
     "costPredict.recStable": "Cost stable, maintain current strategy"
+    ,"costPredict.incompletePeriod": "The current billing period is incomplete. Data is available through {{date}} and the forecast will change as billing continues"
+    ,"costPredict.incompletePrompt": "- Billing note: current period is incomplete; data through {{date}}"
+    ,"costPredict.costAttribution": "Cost Change Attribution"
+    ,"costPredict.baselinePeriod": "Baseline"
+    ,"costPredict.comparisonPeriod": "Comparison"
+    ,"costPredict.costChange": "Cost change"
+    ,"costPredict.sectionAttribution": "[Cost Change Attribution]"
+    ,"costPredict.noAttribution": "No comparable cost change attribution is available"
+    ,"costPredict.attributionLine": "- {{dimension}} / {{name}}: change {{delta}} CNY, contribution {{contribution}}%"
+    ,"costPredict.dimension.provider": "Provider"
+    ,"costPredict.dimension.account_name": "Account"
+    ,"costPredict.dimension.service": "Service"
+    ,"costPredict.dimension.region": "Region"
   },
   "breadcrumb": {
     "aiAlertAnalyzer": "Alert Analysis",

frontend/src/locales/zh-CN.json

@@ -8795,6 +8795,19 @@
     "costPredict.recRising": "费用呈上升趋势，建议关注新增服务消费",
     "costPredict.recDeclining": "费用持续下降，成本优化有效",
     "costPredict.recStable": "费用平稳，保持当前成本策略"
+    ,"costPredict.incompletePeriod": "当前账期尚未结束，费用数据截至 {{date}}，预测结果会随出账继续变化"
+    ,"costPredict.incompletePrompt": "- 账期说明：当前账期未结束，数据截至 {{date}}"
+    ,"costPredict.costAttribution": "费用变化归因"
+    ,"costPredict.baselinePeriod": "基准期"
+    ,"costPredict.comparisonPeriod": "对比期"
+    ,"costPredict.costChange": "费用变化"
+    ,"costPredict.sectionAttribution": "【费用变化归因】"
+    ,"costPredict.noAttribution": "暂无可归因的同期费用变化"
+    ,"costPredict.attributionLine": "- {{dimension}} / {{name}}：变化 {{delta}} 元，贡献 {{contribution}}%"
+    ,"costPredict.dimension.provider": "云厂商"
+    ,"costPredict.dimension.account_name": "账号"
+    ,"costPredict.dimension.service": "服务"
+    ,"costPredict.dimension.region": "区域"
   },
   "breadcrumb": {
     "aiAlertAnalyzer": "告警分析",